Dedman College of Humanities and Sciences Dedman College Research Faculty News Political Science

Joshua Rovner, Tower Center, Warring Tribes Studying War and Peace

War on the Rocks

Originally Posted: April 12, 2016

Forty years ago an intense controversy gripped the intelligence community over estimates of the Soviet strategic threat. Hardliners outside the community had complained that intelligence analysts were routinely underestimating Soviet capabilities and intentions because they relied on social science models that assumed rationality and reduced threat assessment to a bean counting exercise. What they should be doing, said critics, was looking harder at the intangible factors that provided a more comprehensive view of Moscow’s designs. The hardliners demanded that the intelligence community open its doors to outsiders who could form an alternative judgment based on the same classified information. READ MORE